Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.008244 0.009708 0.011468 0.013775 0.016770 0.020605 0.026022
2025-06-22 0.006058 0.007667 0.009815 0.012997 0.017789 0.025109 0.038008
2025-06-29 0.005109 0.006786 0.009194 0.013093 0.019684 0.031370 0.056743
2025-07-06 0.004568 0.006307 0.008954 0.013582 0.022258 0.040024 0.088331
2025-07-13 0.004259 0.006088 0.009028 0.014555 0.026051 0.053552 0.151982
2025-07-20 0.003929 0.005771 0.008861 0.015025 0.029040 0.067729 0.253051
2025-07-27 0.003603 0.005405 0.008532 0.015079 0.031128 0.081552 0.409180
2025-08-03 0.003340 0.005107 0.008267 0.015186 0.033420 0.098813 0.712475
2025-08-10 0.003055 0.004732 0.007799 0.014731 0.034007 0.110709 1.124791
2025-08-17 0.002769 0.004327 0.007217 0.013893 0.033155 0.115755 1.571010
2025-08-24 0.002537 0.003998 0.006744 0.013221 0.032595 0.122202 2.331552
2025-08-31 0.002424 0.003873 0.006662 0.013482 0.035234 0.151211 6.643520
2025-09-07 0.002260 0.003655 0.006393 0.013304 0.036656 0.179383 27.589098
2025-09-14 0.002066 0.003363 0.005941 0.012568 0.035743 0.190143 112.549050
2025-09-21 0.001959 0.003229 0.005807 0.012660 0.038238 0.240774 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001890 0.003161 0.005805 0.013127 0.042756 0.340203 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001855 0.003157 0.005944 0.014054 0.050430 0.566833 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001793 0.003089 0.005927 0.014502 0.056247 0.875246 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001714 0.002981 0.005799 0.014553 0.059952 1.246710 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001645 0.002886 0.005691 0.014655 0.064264 1.890282 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001556 0.002743 0.005449 0.014222 0.064524 2.350399 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001458 0.002573 0.005121 0.013423 0.061533 2.401821 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001373 0.002429 0.004849 0.012782 0.059452 2.566249 NaN